Comments on Think Better - Three Keys

 

3 Comments.

  • confusion → confidence (correct combination of incomplete noisy data leads to understanding, via bayesian-nuanced belief-updating)
  • complexity → convergence (chaos of individual events leads to emergence of enduring patterns, via systems-feedback world-modeling)
  • conflict → cooperation (clash among adversaries leads to connection, via game-theoretic minimax harmony-emergence)

and the mantras:

  • Beliefs should be Knobs not Switches ...
  • Patterns produce Events ...
  • Allies are also Adversaries — and vice versa

– z 2019-06-09 10:42 UTC


... and for game-theoretic minimax, don't forget (in homage to Best Bad Idea):

Make the Best Bad choice!

... and for bayesian belief improvement, don't forget:

Don't be too sure!

... and for Thinking in Systems, don't forget:

Instead of reacting to events
    Look for the patterns
        That emerge from the rules
            And then ... change the rules!

– z 2019-06-11 09:43 UTC


and cf → Mantra - Think Through ← ...

– z 2019-06-24 08:31 UTC</div>